Types of risk
Mortality Risk
Mortality risk is the possibility that the individual, and the surviving spouse if applicable, will not live to the anticipated life expectancy.
This means the total pension payments could be less than the actuarial value of the benefits earned by the plan member under the pension plan.
In a LIRA, LIF, PRIF or LRIF, mortality risk is not an issue, as the full value of the LIRA, LIF, PRIF or LRIF is payable to the beneficiary or estate at death.
It is possible to provide a hedge against the mortality risk when selecting the Pension Option by purchasing a “last-to-die” life insurance policy, which will provide a tax-free lump sum benefit to the beneficiaries of the surviving spouse.
Mortality risk can also be mitigated if the pension provides a guarantee period.
Sustainability Risk
The sustainability of the invested assets is a factor to be considered with respect to the Transfer Option.
The higher the annual payouts, given an assumed investment return, the higher the risk that the invested assets will be depleted during the client’s lifetime.
The sequence of investment returns is also an important consideration. During the accumulation phase, it does not matter that the returns will be higher in some years and lower in others, provided that the long-term rate of return is equal to or exceeds the assumed rate of return.
However, when regular payments start, the sequence of returns become important. Investment losses in the first few years of the payment period could result in a higher risk of depleting the retirement assets.
Investment Risk Investment risk is the possibility that if the Transfer Option is chosen, the long-term investment performance of the locked-in assets might be lower than anticipated.
Investment risk is not a factor with respect to the Pension Option, as the payouts are guaranteed, and may be indexed.